trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 49¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 64¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Over | 45¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Over | 16¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 | Over | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-10%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 | Over | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 | Under | 5¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 | Under | 8¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Over | 63¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 59¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | +$33 | +650% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $60 | +$13 | +22% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $40 | +$22 | +55% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$122 | +596% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $41 | −$20 | -49% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +56.8% | +41.9% | 40% | 40% | +41.7% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +56.8% | +41.9% | 40% | 40% | +41.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +56.8% | +41.9% | 40% | 40% | +41.7% |
| all | 20 | +56.8% | +41.9% | 40% | 40% | +41.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +41.9% | 40% | +41.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +28.3% | 35% | +28.2% |
| 15% | +15.9% | 35% | +15.8% |
| 20% | +4.5% | 30% | +4.4% |