Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:45:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x96a0…6930 crypto 224 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (207 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$51 (+2%) realized +$51 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate67%150W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day207.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$3
sports 1% +$2
other 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (207 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 +0.3% -9.2% 67% 48% -9.7%
≤30d 224 +0.3% -9.2% 67% 48% -9.7%
≤90d 224 +0.3% -9.2% 67% 48% -9.7%
all 224 +0.3% -9.2% 67% 48% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover207.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 48% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 26% -18.4%
15% -25.8% 5% -26.2%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses150 / 74
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)224 / 224
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day207.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 224 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $9 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $7 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 454 history records