Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96b5…1eaf
crypto · 642 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses387 / 250
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)637 / 642
History coverage46d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day39.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$35
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 65¢ 60¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-7%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 29¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$6 -83%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$5 +62%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$16 +203%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$5 +95%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $8 +$2 +31%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $35 −$11 -30%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$35 +349%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $11 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $13 +$5 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +91%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$1 +20%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 06 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$107
sports 7% +$33
other 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $11 5m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 8¢ $1 5m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 44¢ $8 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $13 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $8 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $8 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $24 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $8 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $10 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 50¢ $5 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $10 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $8 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $8 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $5 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $7 19h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND BUY 14¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 29¢ $11 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $31 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $24 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 92¢ $45 23h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $10 24h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 52¢ $11 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 32h
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY 70¢ $8 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $18 45h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $13 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $13 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +12.8% +2.0% 74% 49% +8.4%
≤30d 322 -1.3% -10.7% 63% 44% -8.7%
≤90d 637 -2.9% -12.1% 61% 44% -11.6%
all 637 -2.9% -12.1% 61% 44% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 44% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 32% -20.1%
15% -28.2% 16% -27.8%
20% -35.3% 6% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.43 · official $9.98 (match) · 1938 history records