trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | +23.2% | +11.4% | 88% | 27% | +52.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.4% | 27% | +52.7% |
| 10% | +0.8% | 27% | +38.1% |
| 15% | -9.0% | 27% | +24.7% |
| 20% | -17.9% | 27% | +12.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on January 20? | Jan 21 | $303 | +$303 | +100% |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 14? | Jan 15 | $194 | +$194 | +100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on January 5? | Jan 06 | $95 | +$95 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 18, 11AM ET | Dec 19 | $1,600 | +$1,600 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 5AM ET | Dec 17 | $1,617 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6AM ET | Dec 17 | $820 | +$820 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 5AM ET | Dec 16 | $421 | +$421 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12AM ET | Dec 09 | $216 | +$216 | +100% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |