trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Up | 21¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -75% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -92% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -56% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -60% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +103% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -58% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -32.0% | -38.5% | 28% | 22% | -40.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -32.0% | -38.5% | 28% | 22% | -40.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -32.0% | -38.5% | 28% | 22% | -40.0% |
| all | 18 | -32.0% | -38.5% | 28% | 22% | -40.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -38.5% | 22% | -40.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -44.4% | 17% | -45.8% |
| 15% | -49.8% | 17% | -51.0% |
| 20% | -54.7% | 11% | -55.8% |