trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.6% | -6.2% | 100% | 0% | -6.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 80% | 0% | -53.4% |
| all | 19 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 89% | 5% | -18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 5% | -18.5% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -39.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $38 | +$1 | +4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 20 | $36 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May? | Jun 01 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026? | May 08 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Apr 11 | $2,118 | −$1,102 | -52% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Feb 28 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on February | Feb 25 | $743 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Feb 25 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Feb 25 | $723 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on February 2 | Feb 25 | $522 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 2 | Feb 25 | $522 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on February 2 | Feb 24 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 | Feb 24 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24? | Feb 24 | $684 | +$8 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 25? | Feb 24 | $274 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on February 25? | Feb 24 | $409 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 24? | Feb 23 | $1,249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Feb 23 | $1,050 | +$200 | +19% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | Feb 23 | $28 | $0 | +1% |