Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96e0…cdd9
crypto · 659 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,206 +35%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$747 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$747
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses309 / 349
Open positions1
Markets (closed)658 / 659
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day1132.6
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$691
7 days+$747
14 days+$747
30 days+$747
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 46¢ 4¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-90%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$17 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$38 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$11 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$21 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$2 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$19 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$16 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$34 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$16 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$18 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$34 +246%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$8 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$20 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$12 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$742
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $13 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $8 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $13 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 658 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 42% -5.0%
≤30d 658 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 42% -5.0%
≤90d 658 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 42% -5.0%
all 658 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 42% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1132.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 42% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 38% -14.1%
15% -28.4% 31% -22.4%
20% -35.5% 26% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.45 · official $0.85 (match) · 3500 history records