trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 50% | 0% | -54.1% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 50% | 0% | -54.1% |
| all | 18 | -19.8% | -27.4% | 50% | 11% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.4% | 11% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -34.3% | 11% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -40.7% | 11% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -46.5% | 11% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5 | Under | 94¢ | 94¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5) | Jun 04 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 1? | Jun 04 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026? | May 18 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 5.5 | May 18 | $19 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | Feb 22 | $9 | +$1 | +9% |
| LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | Feb 21 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs FaZe Vegas - Game 2 Winner | Feb 21 | $112 | +$57 | +52% |
| LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner | Feb 21 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Feb 20 | $64 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Feb 20 | $109 | −$25 | -23% |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? | Feb 19 | $1,575 | $0 | +0% |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 19 | $1,570 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 19 | $3,032 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Feb 19 | $1,604 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Feb 19 | $1,570 | −$2 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Feb 03 | $5 | +$4 | +82% |