Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:55:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x96f5…ed44
crypto · 284 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$256 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses127 / 157
Open positions0
Markets (closed)284 / 284
History coverage158d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Apr 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Apr 30 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Apr 30 $2 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Apr 30 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 30 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 25 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 25 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$252
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +2.1% -7.7% 55% 55% -21.2%
≤30d 22 +2.1% -7.7% 55% 55% -21.2%
≤90d 234 -14.3% -22.4% 45% 44% -24.0%
all 284 -15.0% -23.1% 45% 44% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.1% 44% -26.5%
10% -30.4% 42% -33.5%
15% -37.1% 41% -39.9%
20% -43.3% 38% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 715 history records