Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T07:39:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x9702…9e1d crypto 454 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$26 (-0%) realized −$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%440W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$105per market
Trades / day27.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$25
14 days+$9
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +0.3% -9.3% 95% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 454 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 454 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 0% -9.6%
all 454 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$33 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses440 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)454 / 454
History coverage28d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 454 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $242 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $239 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $241 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 23 $238 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $237 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 23 $235 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $234 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $236 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $233 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $251 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $237 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $236 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $235 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $233 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 22 $232 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $234 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $231 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $230 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $229 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $231 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $230 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $379 −$99 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 21 $276 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $274 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $240 +$25 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 21 $265 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $261 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $259 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $258 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $257 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 20 $255 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $254 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $253 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $252 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $250 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $249 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $248 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 20 $251 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $250 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $246 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $245 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 19 $244 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $242 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $241 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $239 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $241 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $237 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $240 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $242 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $239 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $76 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $165 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $111 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $53 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $237 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $235 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $234 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $227 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $233 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $100 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $151 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $237 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $236 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $235 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $233 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $232 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $159 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $75 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $231 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $176 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $120 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1228 history records