Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:24:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9709…52ab
sports · 184 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,601 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,639 · open −$4,545
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,456
Realized+$1,639
Unrealized−$4,545
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses119 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$1,035
Open positions17
Markets (closed)167 / 184
History coverage9d
Avg bet$764
Trades / day153.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 17 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,724
7 days+$4,836
14 days+$1,639
30 days+$1,639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 50¢ 99¢ $4,750 $9,419 +$4,669 (+98%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first? No 92¢ 98¢ $1,363 $1,443 +$80 (+6%)
AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil: Neither team to score first? No 100¢ 99¢ $498 $496 −$2 (-0%)
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $487 $486 −$1 (-0%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 38¢ 35¢ $330 $304 −$26 (-8%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 98¢ $216 $225 +$9 (+4%)
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 97¢ $178 $182 +$5 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 96¢ $149 $152 +$4 (+2%)
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 96¢ $133 $136 +$3 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 95¢ $133 $134 +$1 (+1%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals No 37¢ 40¢ $83 $91 +$8 (+9%)
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $4,750 $81 −$4,669 (-98%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 5¢ 32¢ $11 $73 +$62 (+550%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $45 $49 +$3 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $44 $48 +$5 (+11%)
Mohammed Muntari: 3+ goals No 95¢ 98¢ $46 $47 +$1 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? No 92¢ 96¢ $38 $39 +$2 (+5%)
Ahmed Alaa: 5+ shots No 92¢ 57¢ $52 $32 −$19 (-38%)
Mohammed Muntari: 5+ shots No 91¢ 66¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-27%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Czechia to win the second half? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-09? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 4.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 0.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score No 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $1,047 +$77 +7%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$7 +900%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half? Jun 12 $34 +$21 +62%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $868 +$10 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $723 +$6 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2,826 +$1,340 +47%
Canada to win the second half? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $186 +$152 +82%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $46 +$7 +16%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $34 −$1 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $347 +$683 +197%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $1,166 +$1,892 +162%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1900%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $3,503 +$483 +14%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $296 +$160 +54%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$31 +2400%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $17 −$4 -21%
Korea Republic to win the second half? Jun 12 $580 −$580 -100%
Czechia to win the second half? Jun 12 $12 −$3 -24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Second half draw? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $391 −$381 -97%
Oswin Appollis: 5+ shots Jun 11 $53 +$2 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 11 $32 +$13 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $63 $0 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $756 +$285 +38%
South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 11 $2,146 +$21 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? Jun 11 $1,715 +$52 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $59 +$5 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Team to Take First Corner Jun 11 $232 −$223 -96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5,868 +$521 +9%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1,866 +$199 +11%
England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $69 +$1 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $6 +$6 +86%
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 10 $1,884 −$154 -8%
Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 10 $1,084 +$19 +2%
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC Jun 10 $485 +$25 +5%
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv Jun 09 $3,035 +$100 +3%
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5) Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
England vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $23 +$1 +6%
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $0 $0 +1%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $1,352 +$38 +3%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $368 +$32 +9%
Spread: Israel (-2.5) Jun 09 $83 +$1 +1%
Israel vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $171 +$7 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$2,074
politics 21% −$4,669
other 11% −$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? BUY Yes 100¢ $487 15m
AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil: Neither team to score first? BUY No 100¢ $498 16m
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $13 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 3¢ $44 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 7¢ $93 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $26 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1,002 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1,002 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $44 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $281 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $31 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $18 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $109 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $52 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 91¢ $141 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 89¢ $15 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 3¢ $130 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 3h
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 99¢ $824 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 3h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half? BUY No 63¢ $14 3h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half? BUY No 61¢ $17 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 9¢ $3 3h
Bosnia-Herzegovina to win the second half? BUY No 61¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 +49.6% +35.4% 72% 32% -5.2%
≤30d 167 +43.3% +29.6% 71% 30% -8.6%
≤90d 167 +43.3% +29.6% 71% 30% -8.6%
all 167 +43.3% +29.6% 71% 30% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.6% 30% -8.6%
10% +17.2% 24% -17.4%
15% ← realistic here +5.9% 20% -25.4%
20% -4.5% 16% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,455.74 · official $13,455.74 (match) · 1647 history records