Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:18:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x971c…adb5
crypto · 75 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses35 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage37d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$53
14 days−$53
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$42 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$22 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$16 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $44 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $48 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $22 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -5.3% -14.3% 46% 46% -17.8%
≤30d 74 -5.3% -14.3% 46% 46% -17.8%
≤90d 75 -5.2% -14.3% 47% 45% -17.7%
all 75 -5.2% -14.3% 47% 45% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 45% -17.7%
10% -22.5% 45% -25.6%
15% -30.0% 45% -32.8%
20% -36.8% 45% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 113 history records