trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 4% | 0% | -19.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.6% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 10% | -26.4% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 0% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 0% | -40.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 27 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 21 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 24 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 19 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 23 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 27 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 20 | $0 | $0 | -70% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League? | Jun 17 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | May 19 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Ducks vs. Flames | Apr 02 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Jan 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 24 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Newcastle United wins the Premier League? | Dec 21 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 29 | $164 | $0 | +0% |