Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9723…ab15
sports · 234 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses119 / 114
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)233 / 234
History coverage15d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$56
14 days+$17
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $30 +$9 +29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +145%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $20 +$12 +59%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $13 −$2 -16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $14 −$7 -51%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $4 +$3 +84%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $6 +$6 +105%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$76 +1521%
Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $5 +$5 +114%
ITF Hurghada: Aliesia Reva vs Ashleigh Harvey Jun 10 $4 $0 -2%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $6 +$5 +79%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $61 −$27 -44%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $45 −$9 -21%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $6 +$2 +38%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Stojsavljevic vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 -4%
Set 1 Winner: Stojsavljevic vs Kostyuk Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Stojsavljevic vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $2 $0 -3%
Mika Stojsavljevic vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 -2%
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Stojsavljevic (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $8 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $19 +$9 +47%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$3 +32%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $6 +$13 +223%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$6
crypto 3% −$8
other 2% −$3
weather 2% −$7
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 99¢ $25 35m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 29¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 59¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 40¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $32 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $20 6h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 59¢ $5 6h
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 61¢ $6 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 45¢ $11 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $6 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 29¢ $7 10h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $14 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $5 24h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 25h
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? SELL No 57¢ $4 25h
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? SELL No 92¢ $5 25h
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 47¢ $10 25h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $13 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 65¢ $20 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Under 99¢ $7 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $32 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 53¢ $4 2d
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $6 2d
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 48¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +4.3% -5.7% 41% 39% -15.5%
≤30d 233 +6.2% -3.9% 51% 46% -9.1%
≤90d 233 +6.2% -3.9% 51% 46% -9.1%
all 233 +6.2% -3.9% 51% 46% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 46% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 43% -17.8%
15% -21.5% 38% -25.8%
20% -29.2% 30% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.18 · official $0.18 (match) · 705 history records