Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:50:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9752…388f
crypto · 1509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$93 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$280 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses779 / 725
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1504 / 1509
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day347.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1504 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,028
7 days−$312
14 days−$280
30 days−$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) KRÜ Blaze 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Grou Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,028
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1474 -3.3% -12.5% 51% 33% -13.5%
≤30d 1504 -2.9% -12.1% 52% 33% -12.9%
≤90d 1504 -2.9% -12.1% 52% 33% -12.9%
all 1504 -2.9% -12.1% 52% 33% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover347.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 33% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 33% -21.2%
15% -28.2% 32% -28.9%
20% -35.2% 31% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.69 · official $2.52 (match) · 3500 history records