Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:50:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x975b…ee2a
crypto · 906 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$2,069 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,162 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses807 / 137
Open positions0
Markets (closed)944 / 906
History coverage87d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 944 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$535
7 days−$338
14 days−$536
30 days−$561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -5302%
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2413%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2619%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -3140%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -4602%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2952%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -6354%
XRP Up or Down - December 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -2916%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2631%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2415%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1579%
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2653%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -3037%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -4103%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1136%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -3309%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -4523%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +473%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2733%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -3320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1613%
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -2834%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -4841%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1894%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2617%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -2908%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2341%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -2848%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -2623%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1266%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -5947%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -3234%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$6 -3444%
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2820%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2444%
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1100%
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1320%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -2419%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $220 −$219 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $116 +$31 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $114 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $113 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $249 −$248 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $247 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $243 +$29 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $141 −$140 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $140 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $139 +$18 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $137 +$25 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $136 +$16 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$994
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $220 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $123 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $116 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $122 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $114 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $121 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $113 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $249 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $247 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $146 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $243 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $141 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $140 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $148 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $139 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $146 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $137 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $145 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $136 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $119 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $144 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $251 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $141 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $132 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -12.2% -20.6% 61% 40% -10.7%
≤30d 354 -3.7% -12.8% 80% 43% -10.1%
≤90d 944 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 42% -10.2%
all 944 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 42% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 42% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 5% -18.8%
15% -27.3% 1% -26.6%
20% -34.4% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records