Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9765…242e
weather · 389 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$75 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$176
Realized+$69
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses107 / 244
Open positions41
Markets (closed)351 / 389
History coverage7d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day344.4
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 41 History 351 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$69
14 days+$69
30 days+$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $26 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $24 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 65¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$3 (+54%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 71¢ 89¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 57¢ 62¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? No 57¢ 59¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? No 57¢ 58¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? No 50¢ 51¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? No 57¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13? Yes 49¢ 44¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? No 42¢ 44¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 79¢ 43¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-46%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Yes 44¢ 41¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? No 48¢ 41¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Yes 45¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 13? Yes 41¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13? Yes 41¢ 36¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? Yes 45¢ 41¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? No 53¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 12 $14 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? Jun 12 $15 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 14? Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $56 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $29 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $99 −$1 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $44 +$6 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 12 $41 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $64 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $42 −$2 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $8 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $19 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $43 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 12 $28 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $25 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $22 −$1 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? Jun 12 $81 −$2 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $32 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $19 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $22 −$2 -9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $36 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? Jun 11 $42 $0 -1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $34 +$16 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $123 −$2 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 11 $28 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $17 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 11 $43 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $19 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 98% +$41
other 2% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 57¢ $6 4m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 50¢ $5 5m
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 5m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 57¢ $6 9m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 42¢ $4 14m
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 39m
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $3 39m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 41m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 41m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? BUY No 53¢ $1 48m
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 50m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 56¢ $6 50m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? BUY No 53¢ $2 51m
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 52m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 59m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY No 65¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 47¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY Yes 47¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 55¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 62¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 44¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 56¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 58¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 +1.9% -7.8% 30% 10% -8.6%
≤30d 351 +1.9% -7.8% 30% 10% -8.6%
≤90d 351 +1.9% -7.8% 30% 10% -8.6%
all 351 +1.9% -7.8% 30% 10% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover344.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 10% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 7% -17.4%
15% -24.7% 5% -25.4%
20% -32.1% 3% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.37 · official $174.67 (match) · 3500 history records