trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +31.8% | +19.3% | 67% | 67% | +22.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 50% | 43% | +7.3% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -35.0% | -41.2% | 34% | 31% | -7.2% |
| all | 32 | -35.0% | -41.2% | 34% | 31% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.2% | 31% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -46.8% | 25% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -51.9% | 25% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -56.7% | 19% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $100 | $123 | +$23 (+23%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $115 | +$15 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $82 | −$18 (-18%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $78 | −$22 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$101 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $203 | +$94 | +46% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $352 | +$150 | +43% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Jun 01 | $204 | +$350 | +172% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 26 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the | May 25 | $459 | +$17 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 21 | $83 | +$17 | +20% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 21 | $166 | +$34 | +20% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | May 08 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 03 | $51 | +$81 | +158% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 27 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 27 | $50 | +$53 | +105% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 26 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 26 | $25 | +$10 | +42% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Apr 25 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $900 | −$329 | -37% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $250 | +$309 | +124% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |