Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x976e…8453
sports · 1656 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,046 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,003 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$121
Realized−$1,003
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses972 / 748
Est. fees paid−$191
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1720 / 1656
History coverage72d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day44.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 9 History 1720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$870
7 days−$947
14 days−$499
30 days−$375
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 61¢ 80¢ $25 $32 +$8 (+31%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $17 $24 +$7 (+44%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Over 74¢ 78¢ $18 $20 +$1 (+5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 35¢ 18¢ $25 $12 −$13 (-50%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Over 76¢ 48¢ $18 $12 −$7 (-36%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 52¢ 62¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+18%)
Mjallby AIF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 49¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-30%)
Club ABB vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to Score Yes 65¢ 26¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-61%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 70¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-99%)
Mega Mozzart vs. Krka Krka 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: Draw at halftime? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26? No 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Cholet 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5) PortlandFire 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants Kiwoom Heroes 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Amanda Anisimova 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-05-06? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Darja Semenistaja 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Varvara Lepchenko 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 79¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Hailey Baptiste vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Rockets vs. Bulls Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Miami Open: Emerson Jones vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Thunder vs. Celtics Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ratiopharm Ulm vs. Mitteldeutscher BC Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Mauritania end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Pacers vs. Knicks Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-01? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Lakers Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Saski Baskonia vs. Basket Zaragoza Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Will EC Juventude vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Pistons vs. Thunder Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs McCartney Kessler Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-04? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Alexandra Eala Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Miami Open: McCartney Kessler vs Magdalena Frech Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats ( Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$319
other 28% −$465
crypto 1% +$12
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 52¢ $8 21m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 73¢ $15 36m
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) SELL PortlandFire 3¢ $0 36m
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) BUY PortlandFire 66¢ $11 43m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 62¢ $9 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $3 58m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 74¢ $19 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $17 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 76¢ $18 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 2h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 67¢ $16 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Indiana Fever 100¢ $36 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $15 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 61¢ $15 3h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 100¢ $22 7h
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa SELL Legia Warszawa 100¢ $20 7h
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda SELL BC Neptunas Klaipeda 100¢ $20 9h
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa BUY Legia Warszawa 57¢ $12 10h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 62¢ $14 10h
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BUY BC Neptunas Klaipeda 64¢ $13 12h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 44¢ $14 12h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 81¢ $29 12h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 64¢ $16 12h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 100¢ $27 15h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 71¢ $9 15h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 51¢ $5 16h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 23¢ $1 16h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $14 18h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $21 18h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $65 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -50.4% -55.1% 33% 33% -37.5%
≤30d 644 -9.5% -18.1% 57% 56% -12.5%
≤90d 1720 -8.7% -17.4% 57% 55% -13.0%
all 1720 -8.7% -17.4% 57% 55% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 55% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 48% -21.3%
15% -32.5% 33% -28.9%
20% -39.1% 19% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.25 · official $121.25 (match) · 3500 history records