Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x976f…8a71
crypto · 1026 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$869 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$876 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$876
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses391 / 614
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions20
Markets (closed)1005 / 1026
History coverage86d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 20 History 1005 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$59
14 days−$268
30 days−$776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? No 74¢ 98¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+33%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 NORD 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 73¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Vitality 82¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 75¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$1 (+33%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 83¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Paraguay to win the second half? No 80¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 76¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 74¢ 74¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 68¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 66¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 46-47°F on April 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bulgaria leading at halftime? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +398%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $8 +$2 +18%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +34%
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Olivia Lincer Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $8 +$2 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $7 +$3 +34%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $8 +$2 +24%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +24%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Valeriya Strakhova Jun 11 $8 −$4 -52%
ITF Tokyo: Sae Noguchi vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $39 −$39 -99%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 10 $8 −$4 -47%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 −$2 -37%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $4 −$2 -36%
Spurs vs. Knicks: Odd/Even Score Jun 10 $8 −$5 -63%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 −$2 -36%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $4 −$3 -63%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 −$2 -37%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $4 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Will Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF end in a draw? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 −$3 -81%
Will Norrby IF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% −$600
crypto 20% −$52
other 18% −$125
weather 2% −$23
world 1% +$5
culture 1% −$56
tech 0% −$13
politics 0% −$1
economics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 74¢ $4 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 77¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 82¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 73¢ $4 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 84¢ $5 2h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 79¢ $5 2h
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $5 4h
Paraguay to win the second half? BUY No 80¢ $5 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $5 5h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 79¢ $5 5h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $5 6h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 80¢ $5 6h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ $4 6h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 69¢ $4 7h
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Katarina Kuzmova 55¢ $3 8h
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar BUY Haydar Cem Gokpinar 69¢ $4 8h
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson BUY Gabriela Andrea Knutson 74¢ $4 8h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European BUY Young Ninjas 79¢ $5 9h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 80¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $5 16h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $5 16h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $5 17h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $99 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -7.9% -16.7% 65% 65% -14.5%
≤30d 452 -15.1% -23.2% 47% 45% -22.9%
≤90d 1005 -14.4% -22.6% 39% 37% -21.5%
all 1005 -14.4% -22.6% 39% 37% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 37% -21.5%
10% -30.0% 31% -29.0%
15% -36.7% 23% -35.8%
20% -42.9% 19% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $199.80 · official $199.80 (match) · 2081 history records