Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x976f…71a8
crypto · 194 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses135 / 58
Open positions1
Markets (closed)193 / 194
History coverage105d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +4.1% -5.8% 73% 73% -5.1%
≤30d 98 +4.1% -5.8% 73% 73% -5.1%
≤90d 143 -2.8% -12.0% 69% 65% -8.8%
all 193 -5.9% -14.9% 70% 54% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 54% -9.6%
10% -23.0% 37% -18.2%
15% -30.4% 23% -26.1%
20% -37.3% 14% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.78 (match) · 386 history records