Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x977a…f2ca
crypto · 696 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$306 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$305 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$305
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses144 / 551
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)695 / 696
History coverage94d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 695 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$28
14 days+$73
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 25¢ 21¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +252%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$8
sports 27% −$336
world 2% +$39
other 1% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -6.3% -15.2% 29% 29% -11.2%
≤30d 362 -0.1% -9.6% 36% 33% -5.8%
≤90d 676 -35.1% -41.2% 21% 19% -26.4%
all 695 -29.3% -36.0% 21% 19% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.0% 19% -25.8%
10% -42.2% 18% -32.9%
15% -47.8% 18% -39.4%
20% -52.9% 16% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.20 · official $9.10 · 3500 history records