Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:17:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x9783…13db crypto 53 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (99 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$65 (+4%) realized +$65 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate68%36W / 17L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day99.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (99 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 40% -11.3%
≤30d 53 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 40% -11.3%
≤90d 53 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 40% -11.3%
all 53 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 40% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 40% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 25% -19.8%
15% -31.3% 11% -27.6%
20% -38.1% 6% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$14 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses36 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day99.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 23 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 23 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $75 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $51 −$20 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 23 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 23 $77 −$26 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 23 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $76 +$17 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 23 $27 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $56 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $25 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$3 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $29 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 155 history records