Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x978c…1467
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$177 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 10
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1,628
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$176
7 days−$176
14 days−$176
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 35¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 10¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $7,927 −$12 -0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $80 −$71 -89%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 −$22 -74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $20 −$14 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $7,347 −$12 -0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 27 $827 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 94% −$24
world 5% −$1
sports 1% −$145
crypto 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $179 49m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $179 49m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $179 49m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $180 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $181 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $181 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $181 50m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $181 51m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $181 51m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $181 52m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $181 57m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $181 59m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $182 59m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $182 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $183 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $183 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $183 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $183 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $183 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-70.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -74.2% -76.7% 0% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 10 -66.8% -70.0% 0% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 10 -66.8% -70.0% 0% 0% -10.4%
all 10 -66.8% -70.0% 0% 0% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.0% 0% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -72.9% 0% -19.0%
15% -75.5% 0% -26.8%
20% -77.9% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records