trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 50% | 50% | +13.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 50% | 50% | +13.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 50% | 50% | +13.1% |
| all | 22 | +20.6% | +9.1% | 50% | 50% | +13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.1% | 50% | +13.1% |
| 10% | -1.4% | 50% | +2.3% |
| 15% | -10.9% | 50% | -7.6% |
| 20% | -19.6% | 50% | -16.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $88 | $85 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 51¢ | 50¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $31 | +$111 | +363% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $25 | +$34 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$23 | +226% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$16 | -80% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $25 | +$39 | +152% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $25 | +$20 | +79% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$26 | +86% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $23 | +$37 | +158% |