trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -99.9% | -99.9% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| all | 14 | -88.0% | -89.1% | 7% | 7% | -91.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -89.1% | 7% | -91.7% |
| 10% | -90.2% | 0% | -92.5% |
| 15% | -91.1% | 0% | -93.2% |
| 20% | -92.0% | 0% | -93.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $830 | $440 | −$390 (-47%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $118 | $21 | −$97 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $299 | −$293 | -98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 29 | $1,783 | −$1,671 | -94% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 29 | $795 | −$789 | -99% |
| First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan | Mar 18 | $212 | −$212 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 18 | $2,948 | −$2,732 | -93% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 17 | $612 | −$612 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? | Mar 04 | $182 | −$182 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Mar 04 | $3,209 | −$3,209 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Mar 04 | $4,186 | −$4,186 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 03 | $1,085 | +$196 | +18% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $900 | −$454 | -50% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $760 | −$760 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $1,276 | −$1,276 | -100% |