Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x9795…390d
crypto · 381 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,300 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,797 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,797
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses105 / 275
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)380 / 381
History coverage222d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$32
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-02? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Knicks Lakers 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 14 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 06 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -94%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 05 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 29 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Apr 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? Apr 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 29 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 29 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Apr 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Apr 28 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 28 $5 +$14 +275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 28 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 28 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Apr 28 $12 +$25 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Apr 28 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $238 −$234 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Apr 28 $21 +$31 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 28 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Apr 28 $21 +$39 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 28 $26 +$81 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 28 $21 +$30 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 28 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 28 $18 +$51 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 28 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 28 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 28 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Apr 28 $16 +$47 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Apr 28 $16 +$12 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 28 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 28 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 28 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$887
other 7% −$322
world 4% −$360
sports 2% −$142
politics 1% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $12 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 31d
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 31d
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $19 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 38d
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score BUY No 12¢ $10 38d
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $11 39d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? BUY Yes 20¢ $22 39d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 46d
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 46d
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 64 -42.5% -48.0% 17% 17% -47.8%
all 380 -16.6% -24.5% 28% 28% -25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.5% 28% -25.4%
10% -31.8% 28% -32.5%
15% -38.3% 27% -39.0%
20% -44.4% 27% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.06 · official $0.06 (match) · 911 history records