trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 67% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 70% | 10% | -17.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 62% | 19% | -17.5% |
| all | 18 | -17.9% | -25.7% | 61% | 17% | -18.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.7% | 17% | -18.1% |
| 10% | -32.8% | 6% | -26.0% |
| 15% | -39.3% | 0% | -33.1% |
| 20% | -45.3% | 0% | -39.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $90 | $89 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 27 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 27 | $45 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $69 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 07 | $34 | −$33 | -99% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 07 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | -22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Feb 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? | Feb 27 | $3 | $0 | +2% |