Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:27:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97bf…b669 crypto 1048 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$3,458 (-1%) realized −$3,458 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate95%994W / 54L
Whale WR69%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$284per market
Trades / day55.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5,654
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤30d 485 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1048 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 2% -11.0%
all 1048 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 2% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 2% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -19.5%
15% -26.2% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 69% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$250 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,458
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses994 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1048 / 1048
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$284
Trades / day55.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1048 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $22 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records