Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97c4…9991
sports · 437 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$144 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$249 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$137
Realized−$249
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses215 / 201
Est. fees paid−$131
Open positions21
Markets (closed)416 / 437
History coverage12d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day130.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 21 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$306
14 days−$249
30 days−$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 69¢ 86¢ $22 $27 +$5 (+24%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 57¢ 57¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 81¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner G2 68¢ 69¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 40¢ 40¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 60¢ 44¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-26%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 67¢ 54¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-20%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 84¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 95¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 84¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 78¢ 50¢ $7 $5 −$3 (-37%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 61¢ 63¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 37¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 15¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Over 31¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -88%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 +$7 +71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $49 −$26 -53%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -62%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $15 +$11 +71%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $13 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$18 -91%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $13 +$7 +51%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $21 +$10 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $12 −$12 -95%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 +$9 +57%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +113%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$6 +284%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$24 -96%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$8 -89%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $26 −$1 -6%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $52 −$16 -31%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$11 +52%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$19 +44%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$5 -38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$2 +20%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $14 +$10 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$262
other 2% +$12
politics 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $9 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 41¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 25¢ $2 1m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 6m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 85¢ $5 7m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 7m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 37¢ $1 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 23¢ $1 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 4¢ $0 8m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 9m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $6 10m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $5 10m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $10 13m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $4 13m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 70¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 99¢ $17 14m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 66¢ $2 20m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 55¢ $2 21m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $2 22m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 84¢ $5 22m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $6 22m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $6 24m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 78¢ $5 25m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 21¢ $1 26m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 53¢ $2 28m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 30¢ $1 29m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $15 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -13.7% -22.0% 47% 41% -16.9%
≤30d 416 -5.8% -14.8% 52% 45% -12.2%
≤90d 416 -5.8% -14.8% 52% 45% -12.2%
all 416 -5.8% -14.8% 52% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 45% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 35% -20.6%
15% -30.4% 26% -28.3%
20% -37.2% 19% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $137.26 · official $136.15 (match) · 1758 history records