Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:52:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97c6…6587
politics · 278 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses73 / 161
Open positions47
Markets (closed)234 / 278
History coverage5d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day695.9
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 47 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
2026 Balance of Power: Other No 99¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? No 100¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -315%
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary e Jun 12 $0 $0 -45%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Jun 12 $84 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $116 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $63 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $112 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $166 $0 -0%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Jun 12 $124 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $110 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $120 +$2 +2%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $279 $0 -0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +61%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $127 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $72 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 12 $63 +$1 +2%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $215 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $13 $0 +0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 37% +$7
other 31% +$2
economics 11% −$2
culture 9% $0
tech 6% +$4
world 4% +$3
crypto 1% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
2026 Balance of Power: Other BUY No 99¢ $2 35m
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1 35m
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $1 35m
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1 35m
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $2 35m
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 35m
2026 Balance of Power: Other SELL No 99¢ $2 35m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $43 35m
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 35m
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1 36m
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1 36m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $43 36m
2026 Balance of Power: Other SELL No 99¢ $0 36m
2026 Balance of Power: Other SELL No 99¢ $0 36m
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $2 36m
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1 36m
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $1 36m
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $1 36m
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $3 36m
2026 Balance of Power: Other BUY No 99¢ $2 37m
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $1 37m
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $2 37m
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 37m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $40 37m
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1 38m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $40 38m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $0 38m
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1 38m
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1 38m
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb SELL No 99¢ $2 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 31% 5% -9.4%
≤30d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 31% 5% -9.4%
≤90d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 31% 5% -9.4%
all 234 +0.7% -8.9% 31% 5% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover695.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 5% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.6% 1% -26.0%
20% -32.9% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.24 · official $21.02 · 3500 history records