trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -34.2% | -40.5% | 21% | 4% | -14.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.5% | 4% | -14.4% |
| 10% | -46.1% | 4% | -22.6% |
| 15% | -51.4% | 4% | -30.0% |
| 20% | -56.1% | 4% | -36.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $985 | $985 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $513 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,019 | −$2 | -0% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Lions win the NFC North? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $116 | +$99 | +85% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Georgia | Jan 03 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $11 | $0 | -2% |