Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T09:36:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97d0…4566 crypto 329 markets active 2h ago coverage 18d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$174 (+4%) realized +$174 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%177W / 152L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day21.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$162
7 days+$72
14 days+$43
30 days+$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +0.8% -8.8% 57% 57% -5.8%
≤30d 329 -4.7% -13.7% 54% 54% -7.6%
≤90d 329 -4.7% -13.7% 54% 54% -7.6%
all 329 -4.7% -13.7% 54% 54% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 54% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 54% -16.5%
15% -29.5% 54% -24.5%
20% -36.4% 53% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$11 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$174
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses177 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)329 / 329
History coverage18d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 329 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $68 −$66 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $97 +$63 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$12 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$12 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $33 +$31 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $36 +$28 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$11 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $68 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $37 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 753 history records