Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:53:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97d3…8d5a crypto 79 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$176 (-13%) realized −$176 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate54%43W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day82.2pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$224
other 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -14.8% -22.9% 54% 49% -24.3%
≤30d 79 -14.8% -22.9% 54% 49% -24.3%
≤90d 79 -14.8% -22.9% 54% 49% -24.3%
all 79 -14.8% -22.9% 54% 49% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 49% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 37% -31.5%
15% -37.0% 24% -38.1%
20% -43.2% 16% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$13 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses43 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day82.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$25 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$8 +33%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $5 $0 -7%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $5 −$1 -12%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $10 −$1 -5%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $10 −$1 -5%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $10 $0 -3%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 18 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 187 history records