Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97dc…7a43
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$5 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses7 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)+26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +40.2% +26.9% 78% 78% +25.3%
≤30d 9 +40.2% +26.9% 78% 78% +25.3%
≤90d 9 +40.2% +26.9% 78% 78% +25.3%
all 9 +40.2% +26.9% 78% 78% +25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +26.9% 78% +25.3%
10% +14.7% 78% +13.3%
15% +3.6% 78% +2.3%
20% -6.5% 67% -7.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records