trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +105.1% | +85.6% | 100% | 100% | +85.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +45.2% | +31.4% | 75% | 75% | -0.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +32.7% | +20.0% | 82% | 55% | +11.1% |
| all | 35 | +12.9% | +2.1% | 69% | 51% | +2.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.1% | 51% | +2.9% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 51% | -6.9% |
| 15% | -16.6% | 49% | -15.9% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 43% | -24.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51¢ | 50¢ | $385 | $382 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $91 | $91 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 19 | $186 | +$195 | +105% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 | Jun 11 | $105 | +$91 | +86% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 31 | $380 | −$380 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 | May 27 | $198 | +$177 | +90% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5 | May 19 | $105 | +$97 | +93% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 08 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5 | Apr 14 | $208 | −$208 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 30? | Apr 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Blues vs. Sharks | Apr 06 | $105 | +$101 | +96% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 24 | $398 | +$352 | +89% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 19 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Mar 19 | $205 | +$197 | +96% |
| Canadiens vs. Ducks | Mar 10 | $105 | +$101 | +96% |
| Pacers vs. Wizards | Feb 27 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 20 | $98 | +$102 | +104% |
| Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5 | Feb 03 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5 | Jan 19 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Celtics | Jan 13 | $291 | −$291 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Warriors | Jan 10 | $201 | +$99 | +49% |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) | Jan 07 | $103 | +$98 | +96% |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) | Dec 27 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | Dec 26 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Dec 23 | $218 | +$202 | +92% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Dec 23 | $210 | −$210 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Dec 20 | $385 | +$355 | +92% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 20 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Dec 19 | $201 | +$186 | +92% |
| Bills vs. Patriots | Dec 15 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Pistons vs. Hawks | Nov 27 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Nov 27 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5 | Nov 18 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 17 | $144 | $0 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Mavericks | Nov 14 | $54 | +$48 | +89% |