Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:43:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97f1…6ca0 crypto 519 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (207 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,080 (+9%) realized +$2,080 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%267W / 252L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day206.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 14d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,072
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (207 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 54% -3.2%
≤30d 519 -11.6% -20.1% 51% 45% -13.9%
≤90d 519 -11.6% -20.1% 51% 45% -13.9%
all 519 -11.6% -20.1% 51% 45% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover206.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 45% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 34% -22.1%
15% -34.7% 27% -29.7%
20% -41.1% 18% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$24 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,080
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses267 / 252
Open positions0
Markets (closed)519 / 519
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day206.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 519 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $33 −$11 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $29 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$8 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $24 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $27 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $78 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $46 −$8 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $68 +$44 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $33 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $35 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $7 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $23 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$6 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $15 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$11 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $7 +$6 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $55 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $19 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $20 +$10 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $44 +$14 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records