Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

97
0x97f4…1479
crypto · 1065 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$56
Realized−$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses753 / 295
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions17
Markets (closed)1048 / 1065
Avg bet$2
Trades / day30.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 17 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$10
14 days+$11
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 12? No 89¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? No 89¢ 94¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? No 92¢ 92¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? No 90¢ 95¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? No 96¢ 95¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12? No 89¢ 93¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? No 91¢ 90¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? No 87¢ 85¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? No 97¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 13? No 95¢ 90¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 13? No 92¢ 87¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 78¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 13? No 79¢ 66¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-17%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13? No 62¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? No 90¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-21%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? No 64¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +21%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 9? Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +24%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +27%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7? Jun 08 $3 $0 +17%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? Jun 07 $3 $0 +6%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 6? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 6? Jun 06 $3 $0 +9%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 6? Jun 06 $3 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6? Jun 06 $3 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Jun 06 $3 $0 +7%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 05 $5 +$1 +10%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 3? Jun 04 $3 $0 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 3? Jun 03 $3 $0 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 2? Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 2? Jun 03 $1 $0 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien May 28 $4 $0 -11%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $3 $0 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% +$12
crypto 41% −$35
weather 10% +$10
other 3% +$3
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $4 41m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $4 44m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $4 46m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 78¢ $3 49m
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $4 50m
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13? BUY No 62¢ $3 55m
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $4 58m
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $4 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 79¢ $4 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $3 25h
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $3 25h
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $3 25h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 10? BUY No 80¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $3 2d
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on June 11? BUY No 73¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 84¢ $3 2d
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $3 2d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10? BUY No 92¢ $3 3d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 10? BUY No 96¢ $3 3d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10? BUY No 86¢ $3 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? BUY No 84¢ $3 3d
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 10? BUY No 82¢ $3 3d
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 10? BUY No 96¢ $3 3d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9? BUY No 97¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +8.8% -1.6% 97% 34% -1.3%
≤30d 227 -2.5% -11.8% 79% 44% -9.1%
≤90d 1048 -2.1% -11.4% 72% 36% -10.0%
all 1048 -2.1% -11.4% 72% 36% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 36% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 15% -18.6%
15% -27.6% 5% -26.5%
20% -34.7% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.07 · official $56.07 (match) · 2246 history records