Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:12:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
97 0x97fc…345b crypto 72 markets active 3h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (288 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$39 (-3%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate76%55W / 17L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day287.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$60
sports 3% +$12
finance 1% $0
politics 0% $0
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (288 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -5.0% -14.0% 76% 14% -12.8%
≤30d 72 -5.0% -14.0% 76% 14% -12.8%
≤90d 72 -5.0% -14.0% 76% 14% -12.8%
all 72 -5.0% -14.0% 76% 14% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover287.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 14% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 3% -21.1%
15% -29.8% 3% -28.8%
20% -36.6% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
11.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses55 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage3d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day287.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$1 -8%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 15 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $57 −$38 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $65 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$4 +9%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $48 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $46 +$3 +6%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $44 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $43 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $34 +$4 +11%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -61%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $25 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 33h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 913 history records