trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 45¢ | 26¢ | $24 | $14 | −$10 (-42%) |
| Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 60¢ | 85¢ | $3 | $5 | +$1 (+42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonso Davies: 4+ shots | Jun 12 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Jovo Lukić: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $658 | +$46 | +7% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $403 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 | Jun 12 | $107 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will Lance Stroll achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 | Jun 12 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Raúl Jiménez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $83 | +$2 | +2% |
| Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $0 | +$5 | +2330% |
| César Huerta: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $613 | +$40 | +7% |
| Álvaro Fidalgo: 2+ goals | Jun 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals | Jun 11 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +135.4% | +113.0% | 93% | 7% | -5.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +135.4% | +113.0% | 93% | 7% | -5.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +135.4% | +113.0% | 93% | 7% | -5.6% |
| all | 15 | +135.4% | +113.0% | 93% | 7% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +113.0% | 7% | -5.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +92.6% | 7% | -14.7% |
| 15% | +74.0% | 7% | -22.9% |
| 20% | +56.9% | 7% | -30.5% |