trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 57% | 57% | +4.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 57% | 57% | +4.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 48% | 43% | -17.4% |
| all | 21 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 48% | 43% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 43% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 19% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 5% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 5% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 64¢ | 66¢ | $65 | $68 | +$3 (+4%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $49 | +$9 (+23%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | $21 | $30 | +$9 (+44%) |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 99¢ | $21 | $27 | +$7 (+32%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 79¢ | 90¢ | $21 | $24 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $3 | +$2 | +56% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Jun 18 | $32 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Jun 17 | $21 | +$7 | +35% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Jun 17 | $38 | +$13 | +35% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13? | Jun 17 | $44 | +$11 | +26% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13? | Apr 13 | $52 | −$24 | -46% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Apr 13 | $21 | +$2 | +12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 13 | $21 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary electio | Apr 13 | $49 | −$21 | -42% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | Apr 13 | $49 | −$16 | -32% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 12 | $18 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 12 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Apr 12 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Mar 31 | $6 | +$1 | +21% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Mar 31 | $7 | +$1 | +16% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Mar 31 | $45 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $36 | −$10 | -26% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Mar 27 | $4 | $0 | +0% |