Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:20:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x980c…6e0a crypto 781 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (132 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$356 (+4%) realized +$356 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate55%427W / 354L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day131.5pace
Fees−$25est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$587
7 days−$331
14 days−$286
30 days−$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% −$259
sports 13% +$83
other 7% −$36
world 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (132 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 346 -4.8% -13.8% 55% 53% -15.8%
≤30d 781 -3.0% -12.2% 55% 50% -11.3%
≤90d 781 -3.0% -12.2% 55% 50% -11.3%
all 781 -3.0% -12.2% 55% 50% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 50% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 41% -19.8%
15% -28.3% 29% -27.6%
20% -35.3% 21% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses427 / 354
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)781 / 781
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day131.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 781 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$25 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $19 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 28 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$63 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 28 $19 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $38 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $52 −$16 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$29 +140%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $36 −$30 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $27 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 28 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 28 $16 +$3 +21%
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 28 $12 −$12 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 28 $25 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$6 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 28 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $16 −$8 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 28 $28 −$1 -4%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $49 +$100 +204%
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 28 $14 −$12 -92%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $56 −$48 -85%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $48 −$37 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $26 −$11 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 28 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 28 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $32 −$26 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $24 −$17 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $27 −$18 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $31 −$19 -63%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Jun 28 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $32 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 28 $30 −$20 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $13 −$8 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records