Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x981b…a86c crypto 469 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1179 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$817 (-39%) realized −$817 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate29%222W / 536L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day1178.6pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$37
other 5% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1179 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-44.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 612 -46.6% -51.7% 26% 16% -26.3%
≤30d 758 -38.2% -44.1% 29% 15% -22.7%
≤90d 758 -38.2% -44.1% 29% 15% -22.7%
all 758 -38.2% -44.1% 29% 15% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1178.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.1% 15% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -49.4% 9% -30.1%
15% -54.3% 4% -36.8%
20% -58.8% 3% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -72% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.29 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$817
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses222 / 536
Open positions0
Markets (closed)758 / 469
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1178.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 758 Trades
no open positions (309 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -270%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -626%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -275%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -123%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -208%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$3 -136%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -129%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -120%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -146%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -81%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -456%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$3 -186%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records