Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:07:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
98 0x9826…983b crypto 1031 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (423 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$20,154 (+34%) realized +$20,154 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1015W / 16L
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day422.7pace
Kalshi-fit59%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 68% +$214
other 32% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (423 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1031 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 1031 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 1031 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.2%
all 1031 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover422.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.2% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$44 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.29 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$20,154
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1015 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1031 / 1031
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$58
Trades / day422.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit59%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1031 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $48 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $47 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $81 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 15 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 15 $84 −$84 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$2 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $31 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $49 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $71 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $120 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 25m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 27m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 37m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 38m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 42m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 42m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 56m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records