trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 50% | 7% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 62% | 4% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 4% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 4% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $66 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $6 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 21 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 20 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 20 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21? | Mar 19 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 17 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian | Mar 17 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17? | Mar 17 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 16 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German electio | Mar 15 | $20 | $0 | +1% |