trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 11 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 9% | 9% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 9% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $408 | $407 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $199 | $198 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $170 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $219 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 20 | $360 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 05 | $3 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $13 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 05 | $2,287 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $16 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $1,368 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $1,257 | −$15 | -1% |