Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x985c…e5d2
sports · 594 markets active 0h ago
5.5score
+$1,256 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,287 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized+$1,287
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses289 / 302
Est. fees paid−$160
Open positions3
Markets (closed)591 / 594
History coverage341d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 3 History 591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$375
14 days+$432
30 days+$528
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 26¢ 46¢ $46 $84 +$38 (+82%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 30¢ $28 $30 +$1 (+5%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 42¢ 10¢ $90 $20 −$70 (-77%)
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Will France win the UEFA Women's Euro? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Brewers 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Cubs 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Angels vs. Rangers Rangers 64¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 51¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-29? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Padres vs. Mets Padres 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Rays vs. Mariners Rays 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Blue Jays 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Mariners vs. Athletics Athletics 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $35 +$27 +76%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $31 +$60 +197%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $137 −$135 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $132 +$118 +90%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $61 −$44 -72%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $31 −$20 -66%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$51 +250%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $41 +$67 +164%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $40 +$27 +67%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $117 −$115 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $91 +$72 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $111 +$85 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $91 +$79 +86%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $96 +$7 +8%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $66 +$54 +83%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $56 +$33 +60%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 09 $36 +$36 +101%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 08 $30 −$30 -98%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $29 +$24 +83%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $18 +$11 +60%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $10 +$8 +83%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 06 $13 −$13 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 04 $13 +$10 +73%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $20 +$8 +40%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 03 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 03 $33 −$6 -19%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $30 −$30 -99%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 02 $61 −$60 -98%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 02 $15 −$15 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $112 −$110 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 02 $81 +$114 +140%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $51 −$3 -6%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 01 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 01 $76 −$75 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 01 $41 −$40 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 01 $243 +$209 +86%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 31 $50 +$39 +79%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $46 +$39 +86%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $32 +$33 +101%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $30 +$18 +60%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $255 −$250 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) May 30 $20 +$24 +119%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 30 $41 +$31 +76%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 May 29 $56 −$55 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 29 $81 −$80 -98%
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$2,594
other 24% −$1,396
politics 1% +$33
world 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $12 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 10m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 34m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $21 35m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $29 35m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 28¢ $31 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 56¢ $61 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $137 19h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 23¢ $16 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $35 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $9 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 33¢ $31 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $31 21h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 41¢ $61 25h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $132 25h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $13 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 83¢ $17 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $16 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 79¢ $24 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $41 43h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $40 2d
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 55¢ $117 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 55¢ $91 4d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 56¢ $111 4d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 53¢ $91 4d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 62¢ $35 4d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 48¢ $30 4d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $61 4d
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Houston Astros 43¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +35.4% +22.5% 68% 64% +20.2%
≤30d 102 +6.9% -3.3% 55% 54% -0.9%
≤90d 210 +5.7% -4.4% 54% 54% -3.1%
all 591 +2.2% -7.5% 49% 49% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 49% -6.3%
10% -16.4% 48% -15.3%
15% -24.5% 47% -23.5%
20% -31.9% 43% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $133.51 · official $133.51 (match) · 1213 history records