trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 50% | 50% | -35.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +17.7% | +6.5% | 88% | 38% | +70.3% |
| all | 15 | +11.3% | +0.7% | 93% | 20% | +69.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.7% | 20% | +69.9% |
| 10% | -8.9% | 20% | +53.7% |
| 15% | -17.7% | 20% | +38.8% |
| 20% | -25.8% | 13% | +25.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 57¢ | 58¢ | $150 | $154 | +$4 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena | Jun 09 | $20 | +$9 | +42% |
| HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | May 11 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5 | May 11 | $96 | +$90 | +93% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5) | Mar 31 | $2,822 | +$2,544 | +90% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Mar 30 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7? | Mar 30 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Mar 30 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 07 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026? | Mar 07 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in February? | Mar 07 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assem | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes a | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +6% |