Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

98
0x9864…5d72
crypto · 1034 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$123 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses666 / 368
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1034 / 1034
History coverage23d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day60.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1034 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$123
30 days−$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$96
tech 5% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 +0.3% -9.2% 75% 66% -9.0%
≤30d 1034 -1.7% -11.1% 64% 52% -13.1%
≤90d 1034 -1.7% -11.1% 64% 52% -13.1%
all 1034 -1.7% -11.1% 64% 52% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 52% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 39% -21.4%
15% -27.4% 26% -29.0%
20% -34.5% 12% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2076 history records