trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 100% | 50% | -0.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +11.7% | +1.1% | 86% | 29% | -3.9% |
| all | 21 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 71% | 24% | -27.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 24% | -27.4% |
| 10% | -26.7% | 19% | -34.4% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 19% | -40.7% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 10% | -46.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 86¢ | 99¢ | $688 | $791 | +$103 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $143 | +$27 | +18% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | Jun 13 | $735 | +$65 | +9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 12 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3? | May 04 | $397 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | May 03 | $13 | +$5 | +44% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | May 01 | $673 | +$27 | +4% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 16 | $188 | +$12 | +6% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Mar 09 | $350 | +$150 | +43% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Feb 28 | $456 | −$456 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27? | Feb 28 | $130 | $0 | +0% |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Feb 28 | $728 | +$72 | +10% |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Feb 27 | $448 | −$448 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Grizzlies | Feb 25 | $624 | −$624 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 21? | Feb 25 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 29? | Feb 06 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26? | Jan 29 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Wizards | Jan 22 | $928 | −$928 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. 76ers | Jan 22 | $2,530 | −$2,530 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21? | Jan 22 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Jan 22 | $1,938 | +$1,462 | +75% |
| Clippers vs. Bulls | Jan 21 | $1,180 | +$820 | +70% |